2022-01-01, 07:14 PM
I'm not seeing that Horizons/JPL has updated their elements yet. They are still using the old epoch date of December 28, not the 31st.
Using the osculating element set for 21:00CST tonight (03:00UT Jan 2), I get a plot that matches with that from Horizons at 9pm CST at my house.
Using the osculating element set for 21:00CST tonight (03:00UT Jan 2), I get a plot that matches with that from Horizons at 9pm CST at my house.

